Spring Heat Explosion in Poland: IMGW Forecasts Up to 18 Degrees Celsius

Poland is on the brink of a sudden change in weather, which forecasters call a 'heat bomb'. Meteorological models indicate a strong high-pressure block, which will result in temperatures 6 to 10 degrees higher than the long-term average. The warmest region will be Lower Silesia, where thermometers will show 18 degrees Celsius, and locally may approach the 20-degree mark. A similar phenomenon is being observed in Italy, where an African anticyclone has dominated the Apennine Peninsula, pushing temperatures well above average for this time of year. Despite exceptionally favorable walking weather, the hydrological situation is becoming tense. The Institute of Meteorology and Water Management has issued warnings regarding possible exceedance of alarm levels on rivers in Pomerania. The dynamic warming is accelerating vegetation, as confirmed by reports of snowdrops blooming in Krakow. In agriculture, these signals mark the time for the first dose of nitrogen fertilization in rapeseed and wheat crops, although experts warn that too early growth may expose plants to losses during potential frosts in March. Historically, record February temperatures in Poland were recorded in 1990 and 2021, when thermometers in Maków Podhalański showed 21.4 degrees Celsius. Such phenomena, although spectacular, are the result of specific zonal circulation transporting heat from over the Atlantic and Africa. Long-term prospects evoke mixed emotions among forecasters. The first forecasts for Easter are emerging, suggesting a continuation of the warm trend, but some models warn of a return to winter conditions still in March. At the same time, a slight return of rainfall associated with an Atlantic perturbation is forecast for Italy, which may bring relief to regions struggling with drought. In Poland, the forecasted sunshine and high temperatures will certainly encourage physical activity, but doctors remind us of the treachery of early spring weather, where the difference between sunlit spots and shade remains very noticeable. „Będzie pogodnie i ciepło. Do 18 st. C na południowym zachodzie kraju” (It will be sunny and warm. Up to 18°C in the southwest of the country) — IMGW Forecaster It is also worth paying attention to the problem of choosing clothing during such sudden temperature jumps. Although 18 degrees seems like a comfortable temperature, low humidity and wind can make the perceived temperature significantly lower. Parents often face the dilemma of removing children's hats when crossing the 5-10 degree barrier, which in light of the upcoming warming becomes a burning topic of social discussion. Ultimately, the weekend of February 28 – March 1 is shaping up to be a weather phenomenon that will long remain in the memory of residents of western and central Poland.

Perspektywy mediów: Liberal media emphasize the joyful aspect of spring weather and encourage outdoor recreation. Conservative and agricultural services focus on threats to crops and IMGW alerts.