The latest public opinion surveys from mid-February 2026 confirm the dominance of the Civic Coalition on the Polish political scene. Despite maintaining its leading position, the grouping is recording declines in support in some rankings. Simultaneously, we are observing a dynamic increase in the ratings of the Confederation, which is solidifying its third-place position. Law and Justice remains the main opposition force but is grappling with its lowest results in years.
Dominance of the Civic Coalition
The party of Donald Tusk maintains its leading position with results around 33-34%, despite local drops in support of 4.5 pp. in the OGB survey.
Record Results for the Confederation
The grouping of Bosak and Mentzen is gaining strength, reaching 14.38%, while the party of Grzegorz Braun independently gains nearly 9%.
Crisis for Law and Justice
The formation of Jarosław Kaczyński is recording its lowest support in years, losing up to 10 percentage points to the leader in some rankings.
An analysis of a series of surveys conducted by the research centers Ogólnopolska Grupa Badawcza (OGB), Social Changes, and United Surveys indicates a stable, though not unchallenged, situation for the Civic Coalition. The formation of Donald Tusk enjoys support oscillating between 32.5% and 34.5%. Although KO wins almost every ranking, experts point to visible fatigue among part of the electorate with the current government, which translates into fluctuations in support. <przypis title=
Mentioned People
- Donald Tusk — Leader of the Civic Coalition and current Prime Minister of Poland.
- Jarosław Kaczyński — Chairman of Law and Justice.
- Grzegorz Braun — Leader of the Confederation of the Polish Crown, recording gains in polls.
- Rafał Chwedoruk — Political scientist commenting on the structural situation of PiS.