The latest survey by Spain's Sociological Research Center indicates a strengthening position for the ruling PSOE party, which leads the conservative People's Party by almost eleven percentage points. These results are published in the shadow of the tragic train accident in Adamuz and following the regional elections in Aragon. The poll also records a sharp increase in popularity for the right-wing Vox party, which reaches a historic high in this parliamentary term.

Socialist dominance in polls

The PSOE party achieved 32.6% support, increasing its lead over the conservative opposition to nearly 10 percentage points nationwide.

Historic rise in Vox support

The right-wing Vox party recorded a result of 18.9%, making it a key player on the right and a real threat to the People's Party.

New social concerns for Spaniards

According to the barometer, housing and immigration have become key problems, surpassing other economic issues in the hierarchy of importance.

The February barometer from CIS brought surprising developments on the Spanish political scene. Despite difficulties in the transport sector, the ruling PSOE obtained 32.6% support, representing an increase of 0.9 points compared to January. Meanwhile, the opposition People's Party (PP) recorded a decline and can only count on 22.9% of the votes. The difference between the two main parties is now 9.7 points, and some interpretations of the data even speak of 10.7 points, indicating growing polarization of the electorate. The Spanish party system was based for decades on the duopoly of PSOE and PP, but since 2015 it has undergone significant fragmentation with the entry into parliament of new political forces, such as Vox or left-wing formations.An exceptionally strong position is currently held by Vox, which with a result of 18.9% is closing in on the PP by a margin of just four points. The increase in support for this party occurred after successes in the regional elections in Extremadura and Aragon. Meanwhile, the left-wing Sumar enjoys the support of 7% of respondents. The survey also reflects public sentiment after the disaster in Adamuz, where 46 people died. Respondents were asked about the country's main problems; housing issues and the topic of immigration came to the fore, with immigration becoming the second most important issue for Spaniards. PSOE: 32.6, PP: 22.9, Vox: 18.9, Sumar: 7.0 „The barometer shows the resilience of the ruling party despite difficult external circumstances and sectoral crises.” — José Félix Tezanos10.7 — percentage points may be the PSOE's lead according to some estimates Commentators point to the figure of the CIS director, who is José Félix Tezanos. The opposition has repeatedly accused him of favoring the socialists, but the latest data is significant as it was produced directly after the campaign in Aragon. The political situation remains dynamic, especially in light of the transport minister's announcement about the imminent restoration of traffic on the Madrid-Seville line, which is intended to calm sentiments after the railway crisis.

Mentioned People

  • José Félix Tezanos — Director of the Sociological Research Center, responsible for publishing the barometer.
  • Pedro Sánchez — Prime Minister of Spain and leader of the socialists from PSOE.
  • Juan Soto Ivars — Journalist and publicist criticizing CIS research methods.